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Abstract

In recent years,the “investment,construction and operation integration ” model has gradually become the mainstream for overseas infrastructure projects.This paper aims to provide a reference for traffic consulting in overseas toll road investment and merger & acquisition projects.Taking the traffic assessment of a project in Indonesia as an example,this study evaluated and revised the forecast results in the Traffic Volume Forecast Report.In the absence of base-year OD (origin-destination ) matrix data,the evaluation was conducted based on field survey results and the forecasted future-year OD data of toll station entrances and exits in the report,combined with economic forecasts from international financial institutions.Three traffic volume scenarios,namely low,medium,and high were developed.The research indicates that,based on field survey data and considering the design capacity and influencing factors of toll stations,the conclusions from the evaluation are objective and reasonable.The assessment approach and methodology applied in this study are suitable for scenarios in which foundational OD matrix data,current traffic volume and related planning documents are insufficient.It provides a reference for traffic consulting during the investment and M&A stage of toll road enterprises in Indonesia and other overseas countries.

Publication Date

8-15-2025

DOI

10.14048/j.issn.1671-2579.2025.04.030

First Page

243

Last Page

250

Submission Date

August 2025

Reference

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